Trends in extreme summer temperatures at Belgrade

Abstract

Trends in extreme temperatures have been investigated for the Belgrade temperature record (1975-2003) to assess how an increase in the mean summer temperatures is related to changes in the extreme maximum and minimum temperatures. The rising mean summer temperatures at Belgrade are associated with a substantial increase in the occurrence of extreme maximum temperatures. Two statistical models for climate change (changing mean with constant standard deviation, and changing mean and standard deviation) indicated that the changing mean was dominant, because the observed trend in standard deviation was small. © Springer-Verlag/Wien 2005.