Fine scale climate change analysis: From global models to local impact studies in serbia

Abstract

Climate change studies involve changes in climate system of global long-term scales with effects on regional and local climates, down to shortrange time scales, like weather hazards and extremes. Climate studies significantly contribute to the future strategic planning in economic development and thereby must produce results with high level of confidence. Global climate models simulations of the past and future climate are initial step in climate change research, but their coarse resolution data are unable to provide useful information for analysis on national levels. In this paper is presented workflow algorithm of the procedures necessary to convert coarse global climate system projected changes to fine scale data with included effect of small scale features and reduced model bias impact.